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Global Affairs & Diplomacy

Ukraine Expert Seeks Sanctions, Finds Only Inflation

Deborah Boone Published Feb 13, 2026 04:50 am CT
Ukraine economist Benjamin Hilgenstock views the financial costs of US sanctions from atop a drizzly Kirovograd building, lost in thought about an economic landscape suddenly gone apocalyptic.
Ukraine economist Benjamin Hilgenstock views the financial costs of US sanctions from atop a drizzly Kirovograd building, lost in thought about an economic landscape suddenly gone apocalyptic.
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Kyiv - In a scene eerily reminiscent of his premonitions about global finance, economist Benjamin Hilgenstock gazed out at the drizzly streets of Kirovograd yesterday with an air of 'surprise' etched across his weathered features. This time, however, it wasn't the impending doom of derivatives or high-flying stock markets that had him rubbing his temples in wonder - no, this bout of incredulity was courtesy of something far more tangible: $2.5 billion.

Per month.

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Lost.

The economist's own estimates had warned President Putin that new US sanctions would exact a hefty toll on Russia's oil revenues, prompting the Kremlin to greenlight a flurry of 'independent' energy exploration projects. But upon discovering their 'estimated potential' - a staggering 20% decrease in projected profits - Hilgenstock's face fell as if caught mid-blink by an overzealous dust storm.

In private conversations with colleagues at the Kyiv School of Economics, where he serves as Senior Advisor to the Director, Hilgenstock would often wax poetic on the 'hidden costs' of war. It wasn't until a chance encounter with President Putin himself that he realized his warnings were more like fiscal 'incentives'. As it turns out, every financial projection, no matter how pessimistic or alarmist, is mere grist for the mill when dealing with Russian policymakers.

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When confronted about this apparent mismatch between economic reality and governmental ambition, Hilgenstock merely shrugged. 'Ah, well, I suppose one learns to calculate catastrophe these days.' His eyes scanned the rain-slick rooftops as if already mentally filing his next report on impending disaster - a calamity of such cosmic proportions that even he wouldn't dare utter its name.

A bit puzzled by this turn of events, we asked Hilgenstock what advice he'd offer his economist friends who are forever worrying about budget reports and fiscal balance. 'Why, tell them to hold their breath,' he recommended with an air of studied detachment, the faintest glint in his eye betraying a nascent sense of glee at having stumbled into this delightful abyss.

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A visit to Hilgenstock's office during working hours yields an assortment of charts plotting Russia's dwindling oil reserves against various doomsday scenarios - graphs adorned by little notes and scribbled remarks as mundane as 'Not enough vodka on hand' or 'Still no clear winner from last chess tournament.' Beneath the stacks of dog-eared textbooks on macroeconomic theory lies a worn leather portfolio containing an entire compendium devoted to cataloging 'Russia's 50 Greatest Inventions Since 1991.'

By way of explanation for his fascination with these peculiar relics, Hilgenstock would dryly remark: 'Someone has to document what's left when it all blows up.' This latest development merely provided fresh grist for his own private thinktank. And judging by the eerie silence that filled the hallways as his report reached its climax - we daresay even the most battle-hardened economists amongst them had difficulty stifling a low whistle.